I read a column today stating that the GOP's chances of winning next year about as good as me hitting one of the score board at Wrigley Field ( it has never been done).  I am no completely sold on this concept.

Now I will admit that as this piece is being written that all seems to be aligned for the Democrats to win in 08.

st:  With the exception of Roosevelt and Reagan the 2 term presidents have tended to have the opposing party gain control in the last 50 years.

nd:  There is a marked lack of enthusiasm for the announced GOP candidates so far (all though to be fair this could change).

However before we automatically assume a defeat of 1932 propositions (though the left bloggers already consider this a forgone conclusion). Leave us consider some of the following.

In 1932 the whole world was at the bottom of a world wide depression.  There is no such correlating financial catastrophe facing either this nation or the world as whole, nor is their likely to be in the next 18 months.

The depression and the seemingly arrogant and condescending way the republicans handled it as exhibited by Hoover allowed Roosevelt to clean up big time.  Bush has completely mismanaged the war their can  be very little debate about that.  However this nation is divided as we all know into blue and red.  Where is the pent up demand for a liberal/progressive solution to the nations problems? 

In addition the democrats are most likely going to nominate either a trial lawyer (John Edwards), a woman Senator (Hillary) or an African-American Senator (Obama). 

Any and all 3 of these will offer a target rich environment for the GOP. 

Hillary we already pretty much know about.

Edwards:  This nation does not nor never has embraced class warfare (with the possible exception of the New deal) and the conditions of doing so just do not exist in my opinion.

Obama:  To put it bluntly do you really think that the nation is ready to elect a extremely liberal African-American President??

So we see that although our outlook is not nearly as good as one would like, we can  be sure that the Democrats will over reach believing that they have the country complexly on their side (they do not) and we also know that much can change between now and November 2008.

We shall see what happens